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Earthquake Spectra / Volume 27 / Issue 2 / MANUSCRIPTS

Earthquake Spectra 27, pp. 597-614 (2011); doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1193/1.3574450

Scenario Simulation Group Reactions to the Aftermath of the Great ShakeOut Magnitude 7.8 Earthquake

Heather Rosoff1, Richard John2, William J. Burns3, and Isaac Maya4

1University of Southern California, National Center for Risk and Economic Analysis of Terrorism Events, 3710 McClintock, RTH 322, Los Angeles, CA 90089-2902
2University of Southern California, Department of Psychology MC-1061, 3620 South McClintock Ave., SGM 621, Los Angeles, CA 90089-1061
3Decision Research, 1201 Oak Street, Suite 200, Eugene, OR 97401
4University of Southern California, National Center for Risk and Economic Analysis of Terrorism Events, 3710 McClintock, RTH 308, Los Angeles, CA 90089-2902

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This paper demonstrates an innovative approach for learning about earthquake victims’ behavioral responses to an emergency situation in the immediate aftermath of an earthquake. Researchers developed a scenario following a magnitude 7.8 earthquake that leads to escalating complications described over eight episodes. Subjects were assigned to scenario simulation groups (SSG) and instructed to discuss how they would cope with problems as if they were experiencing the scenario. Subjects first discussed their reactions and potential decisions they might have to make as a group. They were then asked to individually record their behavioral intentions, cognitive reactions (concern) and emotional state (fear) in a survey instrument. Subjects’ responses were tracked over the eight episodes of the scenario. The SSG methodology yielded a more realistic understanding of how a respondent’s reactions and behavior change in the immediate aftermath of an earthquake. The implications of the SSG approach on disaster preparedness and response are discussed.

© 2011 Earthquake Engineering Research Institute

KEYWORDS and PACS

Keywords

behavioural sciences, disasters, earthquakes, emergency services, risk management

PACS

  • 89.60.Gg

    Impact of natural and man-made disasters

  • 89.65.-s

    Social and economic systems

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ARTICLE DATA

History
Received 25 January 2010
Accepted 13 November 2010
Digital Object Identifier
http://dx.doi.org/10.1193/1.3574450

PUBLICATION DATA

ISSN

8755-2930 (print)  

Publisher

$abstract.society.value is a Member of CrossRef Earthquake Engineering Research Institute

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